Posts Tagged ‘Mccain’

Voter Turnout Lower in 2008 Than 2004?

Thursday, November 6th, 2008

There are many reasons why Senator Barack Obama became President-Elect Barack Obama, but was one of those reasons a higher voter turnout? Don’t count on it. Looking at Wikipedia’s page for the 2004 Presidential election we can see that the Bush vs. Kerry election saw some 121 million (121,069,054 to be exact) people turn out to vote. Looking at CNN.com’s coverage of the 2008 election we can count some 120 million (120,366,599 to be exact) people turning out to vote for the Obama vs. McCain contest.

Not only is that not an increased voter turnout, but it’s lower than the last election! Sure, there may be some absentee ballots that need to be counted and after a recount here and there the total number of voters in 2008 might go up a few thousand, but even if the total number of votes cast should rise some astronomical number to 125 million, that’s still NOT the bigger turnout that all of the pundits (and the politicians) expected for this election cycle.

This tells us a few things. First, there was NOT some large groundswell of voter motivation to go out and vote in the most historic election of our time. Second, if the electorate remained essentially the same, then the inherent voter apathy in America was not changed in this election (which is a damn shame). Third, those who voted in 2004 and then voted again in 2008 must have been more likely to be open to the idea of voting for a different party. Remember, McCain only lost by about 7 points (or about 8 million votes).

While that is a significant number of voters, let’s hope that history remembers this election in a realistic view. Yes, 2008 was an historic election for any number of reasons – but not for bringing out more voters to the polls or energizing the electorate.

The Last Presidential Debate

Friday, October 17th, 2008

Sorry, folks. I didn’t really watch the last Presidential debate so I can’t offer any insight as to who won and who lost. In my book, McCain won the first two and Palin vs. Biden was a draw or slightly in Palin’s favor given the amount of misinformation that Senator Biden put out there. But as for this last Presidential debate – frankly it’s all the same stuff over and over again with different words.

The election is in the hands on the media now, so we’ll likely see a build-up in Obama’s numbers heading into November. The media has anointed Senator Obama as the next President and that’s fine so long as America understands that we have a biased media and unless there are drastic changes (like the increasingly influence of an independent media through online channels), then we’re doomed. A news channel that would simply report factual news or even both sides of the same issues would be a huge success in this country. Oh wait, we already have FOX News and the brainwashed extremists think that it’s biased in favor of Republicans.

Isn’t weird how some Americans will ask for something, get it, and then condemn it?

Another Debate with More of the Same

Wednesday, October 8th, 2008

Last night we had another debate between Senators McCain and Obama and it was pretty much more of the same. If you have to declare a winner, I’d have to go with McCain because the format really allowed him to engage with a national television audience in a way that he hasn’t been able to yet. Plus I thought the format really worked against Obama’s strength as a talking point reciter (not that being a talking point reciter is a bad thing, but it’s essentially all that Obama does). But everyone knows how these things go – the media will list Obama as the winner and cite McCain’s inability to slam a homerun during one of the debates.

Thank God I have an independent mind of my own to make up my own decisions! The amount of bias in the media these days is scary.

Anyway, if you really want to declare a winner last night it might have to be Tom Brokaw. Talk about a guy who managed to annoy almost everyone watching by being the only one who was doing his job correctly! That’s got to be a tough position for someone to be in – the straight man between two candidates for Presidents. And was it just me or did Brokaw look extremely white, pale, and aged?

All in all the debate was more bore than anything else. Neither of these candidates is going to put themselves out there and make a major statement during the debates, though McCain almost did with his statement regarding the Treasury buying up all of the bad mortgage debt out there. I am not a fan of this at all – nor am I a fan of this ridiculous bailout (which has so far led to the market falling further).

The real shame of our times is that neither McCain nor Obama have what it takes to fix the economy, yet these are the two choices that we are given. Third party anyone?

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Who Won the First Presidential Debate?!?

Friday, September 26th, 2008

Alright, you guys know the way this process goes every four years. There’s a debate between two candidates over a variety of issues and each campaign claims victory afterward. The media generally sides with the Democratic candidate and their claim of success while the internet becomes akin to the wild, wild West. From where I sat, it was McCain’s night on all fronts.

In terms of style and presentation, McCain is a better off-the-cuff speaker than Obama is – no questions there. This is why Obama refused the various town hall debates with McCain over the summer months. As a speaker, Obama is overly reliant on long pauses as well as “ummm,” “aaaahh,” and “ii…iii…iii,” sounds in between his statements. For those debaters out there, you know that this can sometimes be an unconscious reaction to an unclear mental state or a confusion in train of thought. Hell, I do it quite frequently while I teach! It happens and, unfortunately for Obama, I didn’t like the way he came off while saying it.

In terms of content, Obama had a great point when he said that McCain would give even greater tax breaks to the wealthy. On the flip side, McCain decimated Obama during the Iran discussion when he suggested that the American President would not sit down with the Iranian President without preconditions.

But when it got down to discussions of military strategy (not tactics, mind you), McCain trumped Obama on almost every point. I’m not saying that I agree with every single thing that McCain said, but he absolutely won the debate. To me, it seemed that Obama sometimes got caught in saying anything in order to win the immediate debate. In other words, I heard some contradictions in his speeches that I’m sure none of the media will bring up (as soon as a transcript is available, I’ll try to flesh some of this out in a future post).

In terms of actually putting policy specifics out on the table, Obama failed though this is par for his course. Obama never really speaks in specifics and that’s because he’s still trying to be all things to all people. He will do himself and his campaign a great favor when he starts laying out specifics in terms of his policy. Simply saying that everyone making $250,000 and above will have their taxes raised isn’t good enough. He has to acknowledge that the more you tax a business, the less chance that business has of hiring more employees and increasing the wages of its workers.

Oh, and did anyone notice that Obama suggested a few times throughout the night that he agreed with McCain’s stance on certain issues? McCain only said that Obama was too inexperienced or that he didn’t understand certain issues. Just something interesting that I picked up on.

There was another thing that I didn’t like (and this is really me scolding the country, not the politicians). At one point, Obama said that McCain was wrong when he supported going into Iraq and wrong about the weapons of mass destruction. Talk about a distortion of reality. First and foremost, weapons of mass destruction WERE found in Iraq! Nuclear weapons were not found, but hundreds of chemical weapons were found. These are also weapons of mass destruction! Second, let’s not forget that almost every national politician supported going into Iraq to remove Saddam Hussein in 2003. To look back five years later and say, “What a bad decision,” does nothing to put the decision in a historical perspective.

The last thing that I’ll say about the debate is that Jim Lehrer did a decent job as moderator and I enjoyed the new back-and-forth format. Jim Lehrer is one of those old school newsmen who doesn’t realize that he’s blatantly partisan while on the air, but I thought he did a good job as moderator. Now, as for Ray Suarez who had the hosting duties on PBS – that’s another story! Talk about a biased, defeatist person…

Finally, I just wanted to point out that I tried to log-on to PickensPlan.com after the debate to be a part of his online chat room or discussion or whatever it was and I couldn’t get on his site! If you’re going to spend the money on airtime to promote an online discussion, then have the bandwidth to handle the capacity! Also, while I was flipping around the television after the debate, I found it funny that both ABC News and CNN were advertising their political coverage on FOX News. Kinda funny when you think about it.

Anyway – what do you think? Who won the debate?

Obama & Huckabee Win; Dodd & Biden Go Home

Friday, January 4th, 2008

Last night’s Iowa caucuses weren’t overly surprising (except Clinton taking third for the Democrats). Huckabee felt his “huck-a-boom” continue (I hate that phrase) and it appears that Obama was able to mobilize enough young voters and get enough second choice caucus-goers to move in his direction to take a big lead over Edwards and Clinton. And in case you haven’t heard, both Senators Chris Dodd and Joe Biden have bowed out of the Presidential race. If a Democrat ultimately becomes President, though, I hope that Joe Biden is kept in mind for a Cabinet post – he’s a decent guy. Dodd? Eh, I was never too hot on his bid.

In an odd circumstance, it appears that the story coming out of Iowa is all about New Hampshire. Given the close time frame between the two contests, all of the candidates spent last night in Iowa (except McCain and Giuliani) and woke up this morning in New Hampshire. For the Republicans, I think we’re in for a tough fight between McCain and Romney in New Hampshire and there is always the possibility of having the Huckabee surge continue and overtake either of the front runners. If Huckabee places a close second to McCain or wins, I think it’ll signal the end for the Romney campaign. The x factor here is whether or not the New Hampshire voters are swayed by Iowa and the inevitability of Romney going big-time negative with his campaigning.

For the Democrats, I think we’ve got an interesting situation going on. Clinton is not one to take losing in Iowa lightly, so the x factor for the Republican race carries over to the Democratic race, too. It is almost inevitable that the Clinton war machine will fire up and start throwing some attacks at Obama and Edwards now that she’s in 3rd place. How the New Hampshire voters respond to this will set the stage for the primary vote. And I think everyone needs to keep an eye on Bill Richardson. Governor Richardson claimed this morning that entrance polls showed him at 10% going into the caucuses last night. If this is true (and it seems true) and the Biden, Dodd, and disenfranchised supporters go to Richardson, then he could possibly poll at 13% – 15% going into the primary elections in the Western states, where he is expected to do well. Richardson taking a strong third place finish behind Obama and Clinton after Super Tuesday is over isn’t out of the question by any means.

And finally, there is the independent factor in these races, which I think benefits only Ron Paul. When I say independent, I’m talking about those people who are apolitical or those who despise Republicans and Democrats equally. Congressman Paul has made a small impact on the Republican race and I think that if he plays his cards right he can make a much bigger one in the Presidential race. He’s obviously not going to win the nomination, but he has the support and now he has the name recognition to drop out of the race some time in April and join with Michael Bloomberg and his band of independent, bipartisan thinkers. If this happens (and it seems somewhat unlikely), then I would bet a Ron Paul independent run could pull as much as 25% of the national vote, if not more.

But that’s the pipe dream stance in the overall picture. Now, add Richardson to the Bloomberg/Paul scenario and I believe you’ve got a bipartisan Presidential winner in 2008.


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